ReflationCurrent RegimeDay 42as of 2026-06-05
Pricing: Jul 16 (intraday)
all episodes
CRCLCALL$120exp Jun 18, 26·analogsnone·size1.4k contracts·premium$1.66M#15375CRCLCALL$120
WHALESQUEEZEWATCH0%RESOLVED
DTE 16
May 4May 11May 18May 25Jun 1Jun 8Jun 15Jun 18
expiry · day 45

story

Inflection points only — open, confirm, roll, resolve.

  1. OPENEDMay 4, 26

    Scanner picked it up at spot $119.56 with option mid $11.45. Entry print: 2.1k OI · 7.2k vol · 6.02× V/OI (zscore_extreme · oi_confirmed).

  2. CONFIRMEDMay 5, 26

    Position held conviction beyond first sighting — confirmation print on day 1. The whale stuck around.

  3. ROLLEDMay 5, 26MODERATE

    Focus rebased $110.0 → $116.0 · expiry May 8, 26 → May 29, 26. strike up $6, expiry extended 21d.

  4. ROLLEDMay 21, 26HIGH

    Focus rebased $116.0 → $111.0 · expiry May 29, 26 → Jun 12, 26. strike down $5, expiry extended 14d.

  5. ROLLEDJun 1, 26MODERATE

    Focus rebased $111.0 → $120.0 · expiry Jun 12, 26 → Jun 18, 26. strike up $9, expiry extended 6d.