ReflationCurrent RegimeDay 42as of 2026-06-05
Pricing: Jun 24 (intraday)
KISS Deployment Backtest
Dynamic KISS · 180-day horizon · 584 weekly windows · 2014-10-06 to 2026-05-04
Results by Regime
| LS Win | LS Avg | Darius Avg | n | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goldilocks | 66% | +14.2% | +13.5% | 193 |
| Reflation | 61% | +9.9% | +9.5% | 196 |
| Deflation | 71% | +2.4% | +2.3% | 98 |
| Inflation | 77% | -0.3% | -0.3% | 97 |
| All | 52% | +8.4% | +8.0% | 584 |
Statistical Confidence
LS beats Dariusp < 0.001significant
Effect size+0.4% per window
t-statistic4.88
Sample size584 paired windows
Benchmark & Conditions
SPY Avg Return+5.9%
LS vs SPY++2.4%
LS Avg Max DD-6.1%
Opp Avg Max DD-6.0%
Current RegimeReflation
RecommendationLump Sum
Terminal Value by Deployment Date
Lump SumDarius Opp·GoldilocksReflationInflationDeflation