ReflationCurrent RegimeDay 7as of 2026-04-17
Pricing: Apr 24 (eod)
KISS Deployment Backtest
Dynamic KISS · 180-day horizon · 578 weekly windows · 2014-10-06 to 2026-03-30
Results by Regime
| LS Win | LS Avg | Darius Avg | n | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goldilocks | 66% | +14.3% | +13.6% | 188 |
| Reflation | 61% | +9.9% | +9.5% | 196 |
| Deflation | 71% | +2.4% | +2.3% | 97 |
| Inflation | 77% | -0.3% | -0.3% | 97 |
| All | 52% | +8.4% | +8.0% | 578 |
Statistical Confidence
LS beats Dariusp < 0.001significant
Effect size+0.4% per window
t-statistic4.83
Sample size578 paired windows
Benchmark & Conditions
SPY Avg Return+5.9%
LS vs SPY++2.5%
LS Avg Max DD-6.1%
Opp Avg Max DD-5.9%
Current RegimeInflation
RecommendationLump Sum
Terminal Value by Deployment Date
Lump SumDarius Opp·GoldilocksReflationInflationDeflation